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Red82
746120.7
94821.9
129432.8
Blue86
307034.7
36034.3
368114.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions76872040601001201408286

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.80.4
26.026.5
Auto11.2
Teleop21.4
End0.2
blue by 1.8
34.70.6
31.832.3
Auto14.5
Teleop17.6
End2.6
Second
948
#17
21.90.4
26.426.8
Auto6.1
Teleop15.1
End0.7
blue by 12.4
360
#4
34.30.6
28.729.3
Auto14.6
Teleop16.2
End3.4
Third
7461
#26
20.70.4
18.018.4
Auto6.7
Teleop13.5
End0.5
red by 5.8
14.90.6
16.617.2
Auto7.5
Teleop4.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
89%Melody oddsEarned84%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed53%Ensemble oddsEarned