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Red18
417318.0
60767.3
292820.3
Blue66
189926.5
413116.8
9493.7
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334001020506070801866

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2928
#24
20.31.0
16.815.8
Auto5.4
Teleop13.0
End1.9
blue by 6.2
26.50.8
13.314.1
Auto7.9
Teleop16.2
End2.4
Second
4173
#12
18.00.8
10.09.1
Auto6.8
Teleop10.9
End0.2
red by 1.2
4131
#22
16.80.7
17.017.7
Auto8.2
Teleop7.9
End0.8
Third
6076
#34
7.30.8
3.52.7
Auto2.8
Teleop3.0
End1.4
red by 3.5
949
#31
3.70.7
5.05.7
Auto2.3
Teleop0.6
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsEarned