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Red84
9493.7
746120.7
297618.0
Blue44
558814.0
418024.8
805116.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4064020801001208444

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7461
#26
20.71.6
18.420.1
Auto6.7
Teleop13.5
End0.5
blue by 4.1
4180
#18
24.80.7
23.022.3
Auto8.7
Teleop12.9
End3.1
Second
2976
#15
18.01.6
17.319.0
Auto7.7
Teleop9.6
End0.7
red by 1.9
8051
#27
16.10.7
16.115.4
Auto5.4
Teleop8.9
End1.8
Third
949
#31
3.71.6
3.65.2
Auto2.3
Teleop0.6
End0.8
blue by 10.2
5588
#20
14.00.7
15.815.1
Auto6.5
Teleop5.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned58%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsEarned