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Red91
417318.0
131829.0
241216.7
Blue30
368114.9
94821.9
558814.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions64683040506080901009130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
29.00.5
27.327.8
Auto10.6
Teleop15.9
End2.5
red by 7.1
948
#17
21.92.7
25.823.1
Auto6.1
Teleop15.1
End0.7
Second
4173
#12
18.00.5
16.517.0
Auto6.8
Teleop10.9
End0.2
red by 3.0
14.92.7
18.315.6
Auto7.5
Teleop4.5
End3.0
Third
2412
#29
16.70.5
14.615.1
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End0.3
red by 2.8
5588
#20
14.02.7
16.714.0
Auto6.5
Teleop5.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
84%Melody oddsEarned71%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned24%Ensemble oddsEarned