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Red99
297618.0
292820.3
944226.4
Blue107
204637.9
129432.8
417318.0
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions669820408012014016099107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9442
#11
26.41.4
26.928.3
Auto10.0
Teleop15.8
End0.6
blue by 11.5
37.90.6
36.335.6
Auto12.8
Teleop22.0
End3.1
Second
2928
#24
20.31.4
17.719.1
Auto5.4
Teleop13.0
End1.9
blue by 12.5
32.80.6
31.230.6
Auto11.2
Teleop21.4
End0.2
Third
2976
#15
18.01.4
18.519.9
Auto7.7
Teleop9.6
End0.7
Level
4173
#12
18.00.6
17.016.3
Auto6.8
Teleop10.9
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
78%Melody oddsEarned97%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned