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Red56
204637.9
410411.5
498020.0
Blue46
368114.9
357417.6
198325.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions74544060801001205646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.6
35.334.7
Auto12.8
Teleop22.0
End3.1
red by 12.5
1983
#21
25.40.7
23.622.9
Auto10.5
Teleop13.0
End1.9
Second
4980
#16
20.00.6
16.816.2
Auto6.0
Teleop11.4
End2.6
red by 2.4
3574
#28
17.60.7
13.612.9
Auto7.3
Teleop10.0
End0.3
Third
4104
#19
11.50.6
12.511.9
Auto4.6
Teleop6.4
End0.5
blue by 3.5
14.90.7
14.213.5
Auto7.5
Teleop4.5
End3.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
88%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
55%Ensemble oddsMissed21%Ensemble oddsMissed