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Red90
307034.7
902323.0
94821.9
Blue51
49228.3
60767.3
297618.0
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions714102060801001209051

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
34.71.6
27.329.0
Auto14.5
Teleop17.6
End2.6
red by 6.4
492
#10
28.30.7
21.922.6
Auto11.5
Teleop14.4
End2.4
Second
9023
#25
23.01.6
11.513.1
Auto10.0
Teleop12.5
End0.5
red by 5.0
2976
#15
18.00.7
16.016.7
Auto7.7
Teleop9.6
End0.7
Third
948
#17
21.91.6
21.723.3
Auto6.1
Teleop15.1
End0.7
red by 14.6
6076
#34
7.30.7
2.73.4
Auto2.8
Teleop3.0
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned35%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed