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Red128
902323.0
129432.8
204637.9
Blue85
241216.7
417318.0
418024.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1035415012885

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.90.7
35.636.3
Auto12.8
Teleop22.0
End3.1
red by 13.1
4180
#18
24.80.7
23.123.8
Auto8.7
Teleop12.9
End3.1
Second
32.80.7
30.631.3
Auto11.2
Teleop21.4
End0.2
red by 14.9
4173
#12
18.00.7
16.317.0
Auto6.8
Teleop10.9
End0.2
Third
9023
#25
23.00.7
20.721.4
Auto10.0
Teleop12.5
End0.5
red by 6.2
2412
#29
16.70.7
15.115.8
Auto7.3
Teleop9.1
End0.3