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Red40
252224.6
177826.2
491511.5
Blue82
304911.6
36027.0
291037.0
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions68870501001504082

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.8
26.826.1
Auto9.8
Teleop13.3
End3.2
blue by 10.8
37.00.3
37.337.0
Auto15.2
Teleop21.0
End0.8
Second
24.60.8
25.124.4
Auto11.5
Teleop10.9
End2.2
blue by 2.5
360
#2
27.00.3
27.427.0
Auto13.5
Teleop11.6
End1.9
Third
4915
#30
11.50.8
12.211.3
Auto2.8
Teleop7.1
End1.6
blue by 0.1
3049
#20
11.60.4
12.011.6
Auto2.7
Teleop6.9
End2.1