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Red32
491511.5
49189.7
445019.2
Blue44
594116.0
63506.5
252224.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35340102040506070803244

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.20.2
14.013.8
Auto6.3
Teleop11.7
End1.2
blue by 5.3
24.60.9
14.215.2
Auto11.5
Teleop10.9
End2.2
Second
4915
#30
11.50.2
10.310.1
Auto2.8
Teleop7.1
End1.6
blue by 4.4
5941
#18
16.00.9
9.310.2
Auto4.5
Teleop9.3
End2.2
Third
4918
#24
9.70.2
7.37.1
Auto4.7
Teleop2.8
End2.3
red by 3.3
6350
#28
6.50.9
7.18.0
Auto2.6
Teleop2.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed