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Red41
32686.3
298018.1
177826.2
Blue36
824811.6
593710.4
408916.9
17%Model gave it83%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31441020405060704136

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.21.0
13.614.6
Auto9.8
Teleop13.3
End3.2
red by 9.3
4089
#27
16.90.8
15.314.5
Auto6.2
Teleop9.5
End1.2
Second
18.11.0
9.410.5
Auto5.8
Teleop10.0
End2.4
red by 6.6
8248
#14
11.60.8
11.610.9
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End1.9
Third
3268
#31
6.31.0
6.77.7
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End1.8
blue by 4.1
5937
#32
10.40.8
11.110.3
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed