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Red68
824811.6
94820.0
291037.0
Blue83
252224.6
293018.9
945011.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614020806883

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.01.7
26.528.2
Auto15.2
Teleop21.0
End0.8
red by 12.4
24.63.9
15.219.0
Auto11.5
Teleop10.9
End2.2
Second
948
#16
20.01.7
15.216.9
Auto5.6
Teleop14.1
End0.2
red by 1.0
2930
#23
18.93.9
16.119.9
Auto9.2
Teleop8.1
End1.7
Third
8248
#14
11.61.7
10.912.6
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End1.9
Level
9450
#19
11.63.9
7.111.0
Auto4.5
Teleop5.4
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
35%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned