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Red70
131816.6
9495.0
291037.0
Blue45
451316.2
594116.0
593710.4
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593302040801007045

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.02.2
28.230.5
Auto15.2
Teleop21.0
End0.8
red by 20.8
16.20.8
13.013.8
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.6
Second
1318
#17
16.62.2
16.418.6
Auto3.3
Teleop11.0
End2.3
red by 0.7
5941
#18
16.00.8
9.410.2
Auto4.5
Teleop9.3
End2.2
Third
949
#34
5.02.2
5.47.6
Auto3.7
Teleop0.3
End0.9
blue by 5.4
5937
#32
10.40.8
10.311.1
Auto3.3
Teleop4.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned