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Red62
445019.2
824811.6
418018.1
Blue58
9495.0
594116.0
408916.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36351020304050606258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.21.1
10.511.7
Auto6.3
Teleop11.7
End1.2
red by 2.3
4089
#27
16.90.5
12.712.2
Auto6.2
Teleop9.5
End1.2
Second
18.11.1
10.311.4
Auto9.1
Teleop6.3
End2.7
red by 2.1
5941
#18
16.00.5
9.79.3
Auto4.5
Teleop9.3
End2.2
Third
8248
#14
11.61.1
11.012.2
Auto3.2
Teleop6.4
End1.9
red by 6.6
949
#34
5.00.5
9.79.3
Auto3.7
Teleop0.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsEarned10%Ensemble oddsMissed