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Red54
45127.1
177826.2
252224.6
Blue23
293018.9
298018.1
9495.0
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions564702040801005423

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.20.5
20.320.8
Auto9.8
Teleop13.3
End3.2
red by 7.3
2930
#23
18.92.3
20.518.2
Auto9.2
Teleop8.1
End1.7
Second
24.60.5
20.320.7
Auto11.5
Teleop10.9
End2.2
red by 6.4
18.12.3
16.414.0
Auto5.8
Teleop10.0
End2.4
Third
4512
#33
7.10.5
9.29.7
Auto2.0
Teleop4.7
End0.4
red by 2.1
949
#34
5.02.3
6.94.6
Auto3.7
Teleop0.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
34%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed