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Red50
903617.2
49189.7
451316.2
Blue23
945011.6
45127.1
417310.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44341020304050605023

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9036
#13
17.21.0
17.518.4
Auto5.3
Teleop9.4
End2.5
red by 5.6
9450
#19
11.60.9
12.411.5
Auto4.5
Teleop5.4
End1.8
Second
16.21.0
13.514.5
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.6
red by 6.3
4173
#22
10.00.9
9.99.0
Auto2.8
Teleop6.7
End0.4
Third
4918
#24
9.71.0
7.68.6
Auto4.7
Teleop2.8
End2.3
red by 2.6
4512
#33
7.11.0
9.78.7
Auto2.0
Teleop4.7
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned9%Ensemble oddsMissed