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Red55
582716.4
445019.2
382614.0
Blue53
293018.9
94820.0
131816.6
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions386120801005553

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.21.8
13.515.3
Auto6.3
Teleop11.7
End1.2
blue by 0.8
948
#16
20.00.1
18.218.3
Auto5.6
Teleop14.1
End0.2
Second
5827
#10
16.41.8
11.713.5
Auto5.7
Teleop9.0
End1.8
blue by 2.5
2930
#23
18.90.1
18.218.2
Auto9.2
Teleop8.1
End1.7
Third
3826
#11
14.01.8
12.113.9
Auto3.9
Teleop8.2
End1.9
blue by 2.6
1318
#17
16.60.1
15.815.9
Auto3.3
Teleop11.0
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsEarned31%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed