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Red76
298018.1
418018.1
252224.6
Blue31
382614.0
32686.3
491511.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions613402040801007631

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.62.0
21.023.0
Auto11.5
Teleop10.9
End2.2
red by 10.6
3826
#11
14.00.4
14.414.0
Auto3.9
Teleop8.2
End1.9
Second
18.12.0
16.318.3
Auto5.8
Teleop10.0
End2.4
red by 6.6
4915
#30
11.50.5
11.811.3
Auto2.8
Teleop7.1
End1.6
Third
18.12.1
14.516.7
Auto9.1
Teleop6.3
End2.7
red by 11.8
3268
#31
6.30.4
7.97.5
Auto2.4
Teleop2.1
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
25%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed