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Red45
413115.7
903617.2
293018.9
Blue58
131816.6
468221.7
49189.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions57482040801004558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2930
#23
18.90.4
18.117.7
Auto9.2
Teleop8.1
End1.7
blue by 2.8
21.71.1
19.420.5
Auto8.5
Teleop12.4
End0.9
Second
9036
#13
17.20.4
17.316.8
Auto5.3
Teleop9.4
End2.5
red by 0.6
1318
#17
16.61.1
16.517.6
Auto3.3
Teleop11.0
End2.3
Third
4131
#15
15.70.4
15.014.5
Auto6.9
Teleop7.5
End1.3
red by 6.0
4918
#24
9.71.1
8.910.0
Auto4.7
Teleop2.8
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
25%Melody oddsMissed29%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed