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Red68
408916.9
252224.6
36027.0
Blue44
368113.3
131816.6
451316.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41451020305060706844

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
360
#2
27.03.1
16.819.9
Auto13.5
Teleop11.6
End1.9
red by 10.4
1318
#17
16.60.1
15.715.9
Auto3.3
Teleop11.0
End2.3
Second
24.63.1
11.114.2
Auto11.5
Teleop10.9
End2.2
red by 8.3
16.20.1
10.210.3
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.6
Third
4089
#27
16.93.1
12.215.3
Auto6.2
Teleop9.5
End1.2
red by 3.6
3681
#12
13.30.1
12.012.1
Auto6.2
Teleop4.3
End2.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsEarned26%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsEarned