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Red88
293018.9
468221.7
762714.7
Blue75
903617.2
94820.0
945011.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions605102040801008875

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.8
21.121.9
Auto8.5
Teleop12.4
End0.9
red by 1.7
948
#16
20.00.6
19.420.0
Auto5.6
Teleop14.1
End0.2
Second
2930
#23
18.90.8
18.319.1
Auto9.2
Teleop8.1
End1.7
red by 1.7
9036
#13
17.20.6
16.617.2
Auto5.3
Teleop9.4
End2.5
Third
7627
#21
14.70.8
14.014.8
Auto5.7
Teleop5.8
End3.2
red by 3.0
9450
#19
11.60.6
11.111.6
Auto4.5
Teleop5.4
End1.8