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Red49
293018.9
468221.7
762714.7
Blue70
408916.9
298018.1
418018.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions62592040801004970

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.2
21.921.7
Auto8.5
Teleop12.4
End0.9
red by 3.6
18.10.0
18.418.5
Auto5.8
Teleop10.0
End2.4
Second
2930
#23
18.90.2
19.118.9
Auto9.2
Teleop8.1
End1.7
red by 0.9
18.10.0
18.418.4
Auto9.1
Teleop6.3
End2.7
Third
7627
#21
14.70.2
14.814.7
Auto5.7
Teleop5.8
End3.2
blue by 2.2
4089
#27
16.90.0
17.217.2
Auto6.2
Teleop9.5
End1.2