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Red44
445019.2
582716.4
417310.0
Blue81
298018.1
408916.9
418018.1
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48602040801001204481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.20.0
19.019.0
Auto6.3
Teleop11.7
End1.2
red by 1.1
18.10.5
18.018.5
Auto5.8
Teleop10.0
End2.4
Second
5827
#10
16.40.0
16.216.2
Auto5.7
Teleop9.0
End1.8
blue by 1.7
18.10.5
18.018.5
Auto9.1
Teleop6.3
End2.7
Third
4173
#22
10.00.0
9.89.7
Auto2.8
Teleop6.7
End0.4
blue by 6.9
4089
#27
16.90.5
16.817.3
Auto6.2
Teleop9.5
End1.2