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Red65
293018.9
468221.7
762714.7
Blue31
594116.0
451316.2
382614.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions575102040801001206531

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.3
20.320.6
Auto8.5
Teleop12.4
End0.9
red by 5.5
16.20.3
16.416.1
Auto4.1
Teleop9.6
End2.6
Second
2930
#23
18.90.3
17.517.8
Auto9.2
Teleop8.1
End1.7
red by 3.0
5941
#18
16.00.3
16.115.8
Auto4.5
Teleop9.3
End2.2
Third
7627
#21
14.70.3
13.213.5
Auto5.7
Teleop5.8
End3.2
red by 0.7
3826
#11
14.00.3
14.213.8
Auto3.9
Teleop8.2
End1.9