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Red70
291037.0
36027.0
304911.6
Blue65
408916.9
298018.1
418018.1
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions94552040801201407065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.00.4
38.438.0
Auto15.2
Teleop21.0
End0.8
red by 18.9
18.10.1
18.518.6
Auto5.8
Teleop10.0
End2.4
Second
360
#2
27.00.4
28.528.0
Auto13.5
Teleop11.6
End1.9
red by 9.0
18.10.1
18.518.6
Auto9.1
Teleop6.3
End2.7
Third
3049
#20
11.60.5
13.312.8
Auto2.7
Teleop6.9
End2.1
blue by 5.3
4089
#27
16.90.1
17.317.4
Auto6.2
Teleop9.5
End1.2