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Red91
644332.7
956710.3
404332.4
Blue79
154024.9
448824.4
412521.3
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions79786070901009179

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.70.3
31.431.7
Auto10.7
Teleop20.0
End2.1
red by 7.8
24.90.0
25.024.9
Auto6.9
Teleop14.1
End3.9
Second
32.40.3
31.131.4
Auto13.7
Teleop15.4
End3.3
red by 8.1
24.40.0
24.524.5
Auto7.2
Teleop14.7
End2.5
Third
9567
#21
10.30.3
8.99.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.3
End0.9
blue by 11.0
4125
#13
21.30.0
21.421.4
Auto6.4
Teleop14.4
End0.6