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Red51
956710.3
634313.8
252124.8
Blue46
13599.7
36369.2
7493.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions511404060801001201405146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2521
#12
24.80.6
22.823.4
Auto10.2
Teleop12.1
End2.5
red by 15.1
1359
#20
9.71.3
6.27.4
Auto2.5
Teleop4.4
End2.8
Second
13.80.6
12.513.1
Auto3.7
Teleop8.3
End1.8
red by 4.6
3636
#10
9.21.3
7.99.2
Auto3.0
Teleop5.7
End0.5
Third
9567
#21
10.30.6
6.77.3
Auto4.1
Teleop5.3
End0.9
red by 6.5
749
#22
3.81.3
3.14.4
Auto1.9
Teleop1.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
33%Melody oddsMissed2%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed3%Ensemble oddsEarned