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Red40
299012.5
99977.2
36369.2
Blue11
99941.3
7493.8
999910.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions192001030404011

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2990
#23
12.50.8
12.913.7
Auto2.5
Teleop9.0
End1.0
red by 2.4
9999
#11
10.00.9
6.35.4
Auto0.3
Teleop9.5
End0.1
Second
3636
#10
9.20.8
3.84.6
Auto3.0
Teleop5.7
End0.5
red by 5.4
749
#22
3.80.5
4.23.7
Auto1.9
Teleop1.7
End0.3
Third
9997
#17
7.21.3
6.37.6
Auto2.0
Teleop3.8
End1.1
red by 5.9
9994
#18
1.30.9
6.35.4
Auto0.2
Teleop0.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
3%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed