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Red48
99941.3
404332.4
412521.3
Blue37
546822.9
154024.9
7493.8
40%Model gave it60%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6063405070804837

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
32.40.9
31.730.8
Auto13.7
Teleop15.4
End3.3
red by 7.5
24.91.2
25.824.6
Auto6.9
Teleop14.1
End3.9
Second
4125
#13
21.30.9
22.021.1
Auto6.4
Teleop14.4
End0.6
blue by 1.7
22.91.2
24.223.0
Auto9.2
Teleop11.5
End2.2
Third
9994
#18
1.31.5
2.81.3
Auto0.2
Teleop0.1
End0.8
blue by 2.5
749
#22
3.81.2
5.03.8
Auto1.9
Teleop1.7
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed