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Qual 72024 Storm Surge
Red91
367423.1
281126.1
546822.9
Blue40
252124.8
36369.2
99941.3
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89300204060801001201409140

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2811
#6
26.10.1
27.8→28.0
Auto8.4
Teleop13.3
End4.4
red by 1.3
2521
#12
24.80.4
24.5→24.9
Auto10.2
Teleop12.1
End2.5
Second
3674
#9
23.10.1
27.6→27.7
Auto8.0
Teleop14.3
End0.8
red by 13.9
3636
#10
9.20.4
4.6→5.0
Auto3.0
Teleop5.7
End0.5
Third
5468
#2
22.90.1
18.4→18.6
Auto9.2
Teleop11.5
End2.2
red by 21.7
9994
#18
1.30.6
5.4→6.0
Auto0.2
Teleop0.1
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
38%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed