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Red54
546822.9
281126.1
273311.2
Blue92
154024.9
448824.4
412521.3
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions65790501001505492

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.10.1
26.126.0
Auto8.4
Teleop13.3
End4.4
red by 1.2
24.90.3
24.624.9
Auto6.9
Teleop14.1
End3.9
Second
22.90.1
23.022.8
Auto9.2
Teleop11.5
End2.2
blue by 1.4
24.40.3
24.124.5
Auto7.2
Teleop14.7
End2.5
Third
2733
#14
11.20.1
11.411.2
Auto5.7
Teleop2.8
End2.7
blue by 10.0
4125
#13
21.30.3
21.121.4
Auto6.4
Teleop14.4
End0.6