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Red46
40618.4
451317.2
371210.2
Blue38
546815.4
60763.5
592011.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37310102050604638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.20.9
16.217.1
Auto6.6
Teleop8.7
End1.9
red by 1.8
5468
#21
15.40.1
12.112.1
Auto5.4
Teleop7.7
End2.4
Second
3712
#16
10.20.9
8.99.8
Auto4.3
Teleop4.4
End1.4
blue by 1.3
11.50.1
7.97.8
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End3.2
Third
4061
#19
8.40.9
7.88.7
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End1.8
red by 4.8
6076
#27
3.50.1
8.88.7
Auto1.2
Teleop2.3
End0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
24%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsEarned