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Red57
408918.8
94386.9
451317.2
Blue28
410410.8
96808.9
498016.1
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions494201001502002505728

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.80.5
17.817.3
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End1.9
red by 2.7
16.11.7
16.114.5
Auto6.0
Teleop8.0
End2.2
Second
17.20.5
18.618.1
Auto6.6
Teleop8.7
End1.9
red by 6.4
4104
#24
10.81.7
10.58.9
Auto4.8
Teleop5.5
End0.5
Third
9438
#23
6.90.5
7.47.0
Auto0.7
Teleop4.4
End1.9
blue by 2.0
9680
#22
8.91.7
12.210.6
Auto3.8
Teleop3.8
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
23%Ensemble oddsEarned17%Ensemble oddsMissed