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Red65
592011.5
96139.4
49222.7
Blue54
498016.1
292622.8
853214.6
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38532060801006554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
492
#3
22.72.1
19.922.0
Auto9.3
Teleop11.3
End2.1
blue by 0.1
22.80.4
19.019.4
Auto12.9
Teleop9.3
End0.6
Second
11.51.3
9.010.3
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End3.2
blue by 4.6
16.10.7
14.515.1
Auto6.0
Teleop8.0
End2.2
Third
9613
#20
9.41.3
7.28.4
Auto4.8
Teleop4.0
End0.6
blue by 5.3
8532
#26
14.60.4
12.613.0
Auto3.9
Teleop10.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
13%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed14%Ensemble oddsMissed