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Red23
60763.5
408918.8
46926.7
Blue47
451317.2
683113.4
357414.3
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions405302060802347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.81.0
18.117.1
Auto6.5
Teleop10.4
End1.9
red by 1.6
17.20.3
17.717.5
Auto6.6
Teleop8.7
End1.9
Second
4692
#25
6.71.6
10.18.5
Auto2.0
Teleop3.0
End1.7
blue by 7.6
3574
#15
14.30.4
14.514.1
Auto5.9
Teleop8.1
End0.3
Third
6076
#27
3.51.6
9.57.9
Auto1.2
Teleop2.3
End0.1
blue by 9.8
6831
#10
13.40.3
13.813.5
Auto4.6
Teleop6.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed