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Red38
644324.0
40618.4
592011.5
Blue61
214721.7
498016.1
159516.2
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47582040801003861

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.00.4
23.322.9
Auto7.4
Teleop14.9
End1.8
red by 2.3
2147
#13
21.70.6
20.921.6
Auto7.1
Teleop12.7
End1.9
Second
11.50.4
11.911.5
Auto4.0
Teleop4.4
End3.2
blue by 4.7
1595
#12
16.20.7
15.215.9
Auto3.3
Teleop10.2
End2.7
Third
4061
#19
8.40.4
8.88.4
Auto3.8
Teleop2.8
End1.8
blue by 7.8
16.10.7
15.416.1
Auto6.0
Teleop8.0
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
36%Ensemble oddsMissed49%Ensemble oddsMissed