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Red71
387613.3
644324.0
281130.9
Blue18
159516.2
371210.2
292622.8
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77502040601001201407118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.90.1
30.430.5
Auto10.8
Teleop14.1
End5.9
red by 8.0
22.80.7
22.621.9
Auto12.9
Teleop9.3
End0.6
Second
24.00.1
23.523.6
Auto7.4
Teleop14.9
End1.8
red by 7.8
1595
#12
16.20.7
16.015.4
Auto3.3
Teleop10.2
End2.7
Third
3876
#28
13.30.1
12.812.9
Auto6.5
Teleop5.1
End1.7
red by 3.1
3712
#16
10.20.7
10.09.3
Auto4.3
Teleop4.4
End1.4