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Red11
5096.1
61539.8
476110.9
Blue41
242314.1
31618.0
1576.0
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions49432030607080901141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4761
#18
10.93.6
18.514.9
Auto8.7
Teleop1.9
End0.3
blue by 7.0
316
#7
18.00.2
18.518.7
Auto7.6
Teleop9.2
End1.2
Second
6153
#25
9.83.6
12.38.6
Auto1.4
Teleop7.5
End0.8
blue by 4.4
14.10.2
12.712.9
Auto6.7
Teleop7.1
End0.3
Third
509
#21
6.13.6
12.99.3
Auto1.6
Teleop3.5
End0.9
Level
157
#24
6.00.2
8.18.3
Auto2.8
Teleop2.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsMissed34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed