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Red46
16613.9
242314.1
490915.6
Blue38
7822.6
13111.9
346721.8
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions385102060801004638

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.60.4
13.013.4
Auto2.9
Teleop11.7
End1.0
blue by 7.0
78
#6
22.60.2
18.718.5
Auto11.8
Teleop8.9
End1.9
Second
14.10.4
11.612.0
Auto6.7
Teleop7.1
End0.3
blue by 7.7
21.80.2
17.917.7
Auto10.4
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Third
166
#23
13.90.4
11.411.7
Auto4.3
Teleop8.2
End1.4
red by 2.0
131
#31
11.90.2
8.07.8
Auto3.3
Teleop7.1
End1.5