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Red30
94432.3
5096.1
856713.7
Blue64
7822.6
13111.9
346721.8
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions215304060801001203064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8567
#16
13.70.3
14.013.7
Auto8.6
Teleop3.7
End1.3
blue by 8.9
78
#6
22.60.7
18.519.2
Auto11.8
Teleop8.9
End1.9
Second
509
#21
6.10.3
6.46.1
Auto1.6
Teleop3.5
End0.9
blue by 15.8
21.80.7
17.718.4
Auto10.4
Teleop10.2
End1.3
Third
9443
#12
2.30.3
2.62.3
Auto-1.7
Teleop2.5
End1.5
blue by 9.6
131
#31
11.90.7
7.88.5
Auto3.3
Teleop7.1
End1.5