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Red55
214317.1
999310.9
999616.5
Blue38
657411.7
999013.2
99946.8
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414020305060705538

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2143
#14
17.11.6
20.421.9
Auto6.6
Teleop8.3
End2.2
red by 3.9
9990
#12
13.21.1
7.46.3
Auto2.8
Teleop10.1
End0.5
Second
16.52.0
7.49.4
Auto6.3
Teleop8.2
End2.0
red by 4.7
6574
#13
11.70.7
18.417.7
Auto3.3
Teleop6.9
End1.4
Third
10.92.0
7.49.4
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End0.7
red by 4.0
9994
#10
6.81.1
7.46.3
Auto3.7
Teleop2.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed19%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsEarned