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Red55
206219.5
657411.7
253123.8
Blue73
999310.9
957621.3
219431.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60670501001502005573

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.80.0
20.120.1
Auto8.2
Teleop14.1
End1.5
blue by 7.9
31.70.9
29.430.4
Auto11.6
Teleop17.5
End2.5
Second
19.50.0
17.417.4
Auto6.0
Teleop12.8
End0.7
blue by 1.9
21.30.9
20.321.2
Auto11.3
Teleop9.4
End0.6
Third
6574
#13
11.70.0
18.018.0
Auto3.3
Teleop6.9
End1.4
red by 0.9
10.91.5
9.411.0
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
50%Melody oddsMissed49%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsMissed