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Red73
219431.7
214317.1
957621.3
Blue97
253123.8
874426.1
999013.2
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8060020401001201401607397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.70.1
31.731.7
Auto11.6
Teleop17.5
End2.5
red by 5.5
26.10.8
24.625.3
Auto8.5
Teleop16.2
End1.3
Second
21.30.1
21.321.4
Auto11.3
Teleop9.4
End0.6
blue by 2.5
23.80.8
22.223.0
Auto8.2
Teleop14.1
End1.5
Third
2143
#14
17.10.1
17.217.2
Auto6.6
Teleop8.3
End2.2
red by 3.9
9990
#12
13.21.1
10.912.0
Auto2.8
Teleop10.1
End0.5