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Red73
880225.8
53718.3
423034.9
Blue74
212935.1
702132.4
957624.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions861040501502007374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4230
#12
34.90.3
35.234.9
Auto11.7
Teleop20.1
End3.1
blue by 0.2
35.10.4
35.334.9
Auto11.5
Teleop21.8
End1.8
Second
25.80.3
26.125.8
Auto9.7
Teleop15.6
End0.5
blue by 6.6
32.40.4
32.632.2
Auto12.5
Teleop15.7
End4.1
Third
537
#35
18.30.3
18.618.3
Auto4.1
Teleop13.9
End0.3
blue by 5.9
9576
#25
24.20.4
24.424.0
Auto8.3
Teleop15.1
End0.7