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Red28
514815.6
130611.5
80248.9
Blue50
369212.6
533910.3
250620.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions383830354045502850

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5148
#45
15.60.5
14.914.3
Auto7.1
Teleop6.6
End1.9
blue by 4.4
2506
#19
20.00.8
17.718.5
Auto11.7
Teleop5.2
End3.1
Second
1306
#40
11.50.5
13.613.1
Auto3.1
Teleop8.0
End0.4
blue by 1.1
3692
#23
12.60.8
9.210.0
Auto6.1
Teleop5.9
End0.6
Third
8024
#44
8.90.4
6.05.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.0
End2.8
blue by 1.4
5339
#47
10.30.9
7.68.5
Auto6.0
Teleop3.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed