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Red52
91499.3
282622.8
423034.9
Blue38
967618.3
40546.4
853113.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6637020801001201405238

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4230
#12
34.90.8
29.628.8
Auto11.7
Teleop20.1
End3.1
red by 16.5
9676
#43
18.30.0
13.913.8
Auto4.2
Teleop12.0
End2.1
Second
22.80.6
18.517.9
Auto7.0
Teleop13.6
End2.2
red by 9.6
8531
#38
13.20.0
11.611.6
Auto4.1
Teleop7.2
End1.8
Third
9149
#41
9.31.0
7.86.9
Auto4.8
Teleop4.7
End-0.1
red by 3.0
4054
#51
6.40.1
11.111.0
Auto0.5
Teleop4.8
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
60%Melody oddsMissed27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
19%Ensemble oddsMissed17%Ensemble oddsMissed