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Red40
40546.4
53718.3
582613.0
Blue58
109114.8
220223.8
870116.1
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions305602040801001204058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
537
#35
18.30.7
10.611.2
Auto4.1
Teleop13.9
End0.3
blue by 5.5
2202
#14
23.80.7
20.921.6
Auto7.8
Teleop14.6
End1.4
Second
5826
#16
13.00.7
8.59.2
Auto4.7
Teleop7.4
End0.9
blue by 3.1
8701
#49
16.10.8
15.716.5
Auto7.6
Teleop7.2
End1.3
Third
4054
#51
6.41.1
11.012.1
Auto0.5
Teleop4.8
End1.1
blue by 8.4
1091
#17
14.80.8
10.611.4
Auto5.2
Teleop7.0
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed22%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed