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Red84
53718.3
212935.1
17117.3
Blue34
87827.8
401118.3
514815.6
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions704702060801001201408434

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
35.11.0
33.134.0
Auto11.5
Teleop21.8
End1.8
red by 16.8
4011
#24
18.30.7
17.416.6
Auto7.9
Teleop9.4
End0.9
Second
537
#35
18.31.0
11.412.4
Auto4.1
Teleop13.9
End0.3
red by 2.7
5148
#45
15.60.7
15.915.2
Auto7.1
Teleop6.6
End1.9
Third
171
#18
17.31.0
16.016.9
Auto8.0
Teleop8.2
End1.1
red by 9.4
8782
#50
7.81.2
11.710.5
Auto4.8
Teleop2.1
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned48%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed