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Red73
514815.6
880225.8
558617.1
Blue79
423034.9
761915.1
309013.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5467204060801001207379

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.81.2
22.023.3
Auto9.7
Teleop15.6
End0.5
blue by 9.1
4230
#12
34.91.3
31.332.6
Auto11.7
Teleop20.1
End3.1
Second
5586
#29
17.11.2
13.514.8
Auto4.0
Teleop12.9
End0.2
red by 2.0
7619
#31
15.11.3
16.117.4
Auto5.2
Teleop8.6
End1.2
Third
5148
#45
15.61.2
14.816.1
Auto7.1
Teleop6.6
End1.9
red by 2.6
3090
#32
13.02.2
11.713.9
Auto6.0
Teleop5.4
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
48%Melody oddsEarned54%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed