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Red84
17117.3
167522.5
270422.4
Blue51
957624.2
91499.3
533910.3
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70452060801001208451

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1675
#20
22.51.6
21.322.9
Auto9.8
Teleop12.0
End0.7
blue by 1.6
9576
#25
24.20.5
22.923.4
Auto8.3
Teleop15.1
End0.7
Second
22.41.6
21.623.1
Auto7.2
Teleop12.1
End3.1
red by 12.2
5339
#47
10.30.5
10.511.0
Auto6.0
Teleop3.3
End0.9
Third
171
#18
17.31.6
17.419.0
Auto8.0
Teleop8.2
End1.1
red by 7.9
9149
#41
9.30.8
10.311.1
Auto4.8
Teleop4.7
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
83%Melody oddsEarned38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed